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Effect of TTR of systolic blood pressure on adverse events in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the J-RHYTHM registry

[2022/10/5] From the J-RHYTHM registry, systolic blood pressure time in target range (BP-TTR: 110-130 mmHg) and time within <110 mmHg are useful in assessing the risk of cardiovascular death and thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, according to a report in the October 1 issue of the American Journal of Cardiology by Dr. Eitaro Kodani and his colleagues at the Nippon Medical School Tama Nagayama Hospital.

Dr.Kodani and colleagues conducted a post-hoc analysis of 7,226 outpatients (mean age 70 years, 71% male) with non-valvular atrial fibrillation enrolled in the J-RHYTHM registry who had at least 4 (15 ± 5) BP measurements during the 2-year follow-up period or before the event. They examined the impact of BP-TTR on adverse events. Systolic BP TTR was calculated by Rosendaal linear interpolation with a target range of 110-130 mmHg.

Overall systolic BP-TTR averaged 50%. Thromboembolism, major bleeding, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular death occurred in 110 (1.5%), 121 (1.7%), 168 (2.3%), and 60 (0.8%) patients, respectively. For each 1% increase in systolic BP-TTR, all adverse event risks decreased significantly in the uncorrected model, but when adjusted for known confounders and systolic BP at the time point closest to the event, there was a significant association only for cardiovascular death (adjusted HR 0.983 [95% CI 0.971-0.995]) p=0.006). On the other hand, each 1% increase in systolic BP time within the sub-target range of <110 mmHg was associated with a significantly increased risk of thromboembolism (HR 1.014 [95%CI 1.005-1.024: p=0.002]).

Dr.Kodani and colleagues summarize, "Systolic BP-TTR and systolic BP time within the sub-target range may be useful in assessing the risk of cardiovascular death and thromboembolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation, respectively."

Kodani E, et al. Am J Cardiol. 2022; 180: 52-58

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